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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Köln — FC St. Pauli

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Tobias Reichel, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KOL
57%
Best 2.00
Draw
24%
Best 3.43
Away Win · PAU
19%
Best 3.79
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.05
book 2.20 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (51%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 56.7%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18.9%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KOL – PAU @ 2.20
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →