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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Dortmund — 1899 Hoffenheim

Predictions by Market: Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 16:30
2:0
Full-time
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
W W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · DOR
56%
Best 1.63
Draw
22%
Best 4.50
Away Win · HOF
22%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.23
Fair odds
4.57
book 5.23 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (56%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 21.9%
Odds 5.23
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.53
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 21.9%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
DOR – HOF @ 5.23
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →