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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Luzern — FC Basel 1893

Predictions by Market: FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Luzern
FC Luzern
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Wed 17 Dec · 19:30
1:2
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
L W L L L Away · last 5
Swissporarena · Lucerne Referee Luca Piccolo, Switzerland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LUZ
21%
Best 3.46
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · BAS
56%
Best 1.90
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.37
book 2.70 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (58%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 56.1%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 20.5%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 20.5%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
LUZ – BAS @ 2.70
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →