FC Lugano vs Servette FC 4:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +6.6% better than the market.

Servette FC enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a sharper offensive profile, suggesting they can challenge FC Lugano's sturdy defense. Lugano's home momentum and compact block could frustrate Servette, but the visitors' pressing edge and recent form hint at a competitive, possibly tight encounter. Expect a balanced pace with chances on both ends, leaning slightly towards Servette's ability to break through.

Servette's stronger attack against Lugano's defense
Home side's resilience and recent wins
Moderate tempo favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LUG 4-1-4-1 · SER 4-2-3-1

LUG · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · SER

91 Behrens

Statistics

LUG 4 – 2 SER

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.51

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Lugano beat Servette FC 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.51 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.18 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.33	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.14	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	53%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	57%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.32	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.23	—	36%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.65	—	36%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	31%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	62%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	77%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.18u	−19% ROI

FC Lugano vs Servette FC 4:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled