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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Lugano — FC Sion

Predictions by Market: FC Lugano vs FC Sion

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
FC Sion
FC Sion
W W W D D Away · last 5
Cornaredo · Lugano Referee Mirel Turkes, Switzerland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LUG
39%
Best 2.13
Draw
26%
Best 3.33
Away Win · SIO
35%
Best 3.35
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.65
book 1.80 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (65%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.9%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 13.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LUG – SIO @ 1.80
+9.2%
Edge
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