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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Basel 1893 — FC Lugano

Predictions by Market: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 L W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W W L D W Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee Urs Schnyder, Switzerland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAS
62%
Best 1.73
Draw
22%
Best 3.95
Away Win · LUG
16%
Best 4.12
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.50
Fair odds
4.78
book 5.50 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (79%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.4%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BAS – LUG @ 5.50
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →