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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt — VfL Wolfsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.77 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.63 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.59 – 1.86
Δ −0.27
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.77 — +10.1% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt enters this Bundesliga clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a pressing edge in attack versus Wolfsburg's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Wolfsburg struggles with confidence after a string of losses. Expect Frankfurt's compact block and set-piece threat to challenge Wolfsburg's shaky defense. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with chances for both sides but a home advantage likely to prevail.

  • Home side's superior quality and form
  • Offensive pressure against away defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.77 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 4-2-3-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · EIN
62' Collins ↑ · Bahoya ↓
62' Batshuayi ↑ · Gotze ↓
76' Dahoud ↑ · Skhiri ↓
82' Ngankam ↑ · Knauff ↓
Subs used · WOL
71' Svanberg ↑ · Wimmer ↓
71' Pejcinovic ↑ · Amoura ↓
86' Vavro ↑ · Eriksen ↓
86' Souza ↑ · Gerhardt ↓
90+9' Hensel ↑ · Majer ↓

Statistics

EIN 1 – 1 WOL
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.86
15
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
7
14
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
9
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
Nathaniel Brown
Yellow Card
▮
56'
N. Collins ↓ · J. Bahoya ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
M. Batshuayi ↓ · M. Gotze ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
67'
⚽
A. Zehnter
Assist · S. Kumbedi · 0–1
70'
▮
Patrick Wimmer
Yellow Card
71'
⇄
M. Svanberg ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
D. Pejcinovic ↓ · M. Amoura ↑
Substitution 2
M. Dahoud ↓ · E. Skhiri ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
J. Ngankam ↓ · A. Knauff ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
86'
⇄
D. Vavro ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 3
86'
⇄
Vini Souza ↓ · Y. Gerhardt ↑
Substitution 4
M. Batshuayi (P)
Penalty · 1–1
⚽
90'
90+4'
▮
Denis Vavro
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
Maximilian Arnold
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Yellow Card
90+9'
⇄
P. Hensel ↓ · L. Majer ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 14 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Zehnter (67'), M. Batshuayi (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.04 units (Brier 0.194).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.77 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.75 — 60% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.63 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.63 — 38% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.28 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.20 — 38% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.52 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 61% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.35 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 83% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Draw 4.40 — 22% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.51 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.36 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.04u −6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
EIN – WOL @ 1.77
+10.1%
Edge
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