Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +14.8% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.10
✗ Lost
AI 55%
Implied 48%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
FAL 4-2-3-1 · RAN 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
FAL 3
– 6 RAN
1.67
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
3.72
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
Match recap
Rangers won 6–3 away at Falkirk. At half-time it was 2–1.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.72 to 1.67. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 7, 9 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 6 from 3.72 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.74 units (Brier 0.191).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.11 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
1.85 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.85 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.10 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
2.05 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.76 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+0.76 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.80 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+0.80 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.44 |
— |
77% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.33 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
12.00 |
— |
11% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.24 |
— |
85% |
Cashed |
+0.24 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.36 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.36 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.95 |
— |
23% |
Cashed |
+1.95 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
89% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.76 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.25 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.25 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
4.75 |
— |
15% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
3.45 |
— |
15% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−3.74u |
−22% ROI |
