Match Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig November 28, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.81 — +8.5% better than the market.

RB Leipzig arrive with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their slightly stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled, hinting at chances for Leipzig to press forward effectively. Borussia Mönchengladbach's home edge is modest, but their compact block and set-piece threat could keep the game tight.

Leipzig's offensive edge against Gladbach's defense
Home momentum tempered by defensive vulnerabilities
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOE 4-4-2 · LEI 4-3-3

MOE · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · LEI

15 Tabaković

Subs used · MOE

73'

Reyna ↑ ·

Neuhaus ↓

73'

Machino ↑ ·

Tabakovic ↓

83'

Friedrich ↑ ·

Castrop ↓

90'

Kleindienst ↑ ·

Honorat ↓

Subs used · LEI

66'

Banzuzi ↑ ·

Schlager ↓

66'

Bakayoko ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

82'

Gomis ↑ ·

Harder ↓

90+1'

Klostermann ↑ ·

Baku ↓

📊 Statistics

MOE 0 – 0 LEI

41%

Possession (%)

59%

0.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 0

45'

▮

Christoph Baumgartner

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

52'

▮

Ridle Baku

Yellow Card

61'

▮

Xaver Schlager

Yellow Card

66'

⇄

E. Banzuzi ↓ · X. Schlager ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

J. Bakayoko ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 2

G. Reyna ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

S. Machino ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

82'

⇄

T. Gomis ↓ · C. Harder ↑

Substitution 3

M. Friedrich ↓ · J. Castrop ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

83'

T. Kleindienst ↓ · F. Honorat ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

90+1'

⇄

L. Klostermann ↓ · R. Baku ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach and RB Leipzig drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 0.91 to 0.35. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 7, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +24.84 units (Brier 0.390).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.81	—	60%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Away Win	2.26	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.80	—	38%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.72	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.22	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.77	—	47%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.38	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	76%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
BTTS No	2.97	—	37%	Cashed	+1.97	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.42	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.18	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	18%	Cashed	+5.00	Cashed
Under 0.5	21.00	—	5%	Cashed	+20.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.05	—	24%	Cashed	+3.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+24.84u	+146% ROI

Match Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig November 28, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.81 — +8.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled