Match Kilmarnock vs Dundee April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Kilmarnock holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a notable home momentum, having secured more points recently. Their offensive strength matches well against Dundee's defense, suggesting they can create chances at Rugby Park. Dundee's defensive solidity might keep the scoreline tight, but Kilmarnock's pressing edge and home comfort should tilt the balance.

Home side's better recent form and attacking potential
Dundee's compact defensive block may limit goals
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KIL 4-4-2 · DUN 4-1-4-1

KIL · 4-4-2 4-1-4-1 · DUN

44 Hugill

📊 Statistics

KIL 2 – 2 DUN

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.23

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kilmarnock and Dundee drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.23 to 0.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 7, 3 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.50 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.36 units (Brier 0.250).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.07	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.25	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.61	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	48%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.85	—	43%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	47%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.38	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.38	—	78%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	21%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	85%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	66%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	3.45	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.36u	−8% ROI