Match Hibernian vs Kilmarnock April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Hibernian arrives with a clear quality edge and solid home momentum, having kept a tight defensive shape that challenges Kilmarnock's moderate attack. The visitors show resilience but face a pressing home side whose defensive discipline and recent form suggest control over the match tempo. Expect a compact game with limited clear-cut chances and a tendency towards a low-scoring outcome.

Home's defensive solidity vs away's average offense
Recent unbeaten streak boosting home confidence
Moderate pace hint favors structured play over open attacking

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HIB 3-4-1-2 · KIL 4-2-3-1

HIB · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · KIL

44 Scarlett

📊 Statistics

HIB 3 – 0 KIL

52%

Possession (%)

48%

2.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.56

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Hibernian beat Kilmarnock 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.14 to 0.56. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 5, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.54 units (Brier 0.101).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.12	—	55%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.33	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.62	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	49%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.55	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.55	—	72%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.55	—	68%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.80	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	88%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.19	—	68%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Draw	4.60	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	85%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	70%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Away Win	6.25	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.75	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.54u	−33% ROI