Falkirk vs ST Mirren 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.90 — +10.6% better than the market.

Falkirk enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting home momentum. Their stronger offense faces a less resilient ST Mirren defense, hinting at a pressing advantage. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could exploit the visitors’ defensive lapses. Expect a controlled tempo with moderate goal potential given the balanced xG and cautious odds.

Home edge in form and quality
Offensive pressure against weaker defense
Moderate pace, likely under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FAL 4-2-3-1 · MIR 3-1-4-2

FAL · 4-2-3-1 3-1-4-2 · MIR

16 Stewart

Statistics

FAL 1 – 2 MIR

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

ST Mirren won 2–1 away at Falkirk. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.02 units (Brier 0.294).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.02	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.91	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.90	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	42%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	42%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.01	—	39%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	82%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.42	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	85%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.52	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	62%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.14	—	17%	Cashed	+2.14	Cashed
Away Win	4.25	—	17%	Cashed	+3.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.45	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.02u	−0% ROI

Falkirk vs ST Mirren 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled