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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 14:30
2:0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Martin Petersen, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEI
70%
Best 1.46
Draw
19%
Best 5.00
Away Win · WER
11%
Best 5.85
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 8.00
Fair odds
7.41
book 8.00 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 14% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (87%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.8%
Odds 5.33
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.3%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 31.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.5%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.5%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LEI – WER @ 8.00
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →