Match Livingston vs ST Mirren February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Livingston hosts ST Mirren in a tight Premiership clash where defensive solidity could dominate. Despite a slight quality edge for Livingston, their recent home form shows vulnerability, while ST Mirren's away resilience and better recent points per game hint at a balanced contest. Expect a cautious tempo with both sides likely to prioritize defensive organization over attacking risks.

Livingston's home defensive strength vs ST Mirren's modest attack
ST Mirren's away form suggests compact, disciplined play
Low-scoring potential with a pressing edge on defense

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LIV 3-1-4-2 · MIR 3-5-2

LIV · 3-1-4-2 3-5-2 · MIR

15 Smith

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 1 MIR

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.08

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Livingston and ST Mirren drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.84 units (Brier 0.160).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.94	—	61%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS No	2.12	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.72	—	61%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.45	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.25	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	44%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.04	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	82%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.40	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.35	—	64%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.58	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	81%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	64%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.84u	−17% ROI