Match Kilmarnock vs Celtic February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Celtic arrive at Rugby Park with a clear quality edge and a strong away offensive threat against Kilmarnock's solid but less potent defense. Despite Kilmarnock's decent recent form, Celtic's consistent winning streak and superior attacking firepower suggest they will control the game tempo. The home side's defensive resilience might limit scoring, hinting at a tactical battle with fewer goals than usual.

Celtic's attacking edge likely to test Kilmarnock's defense.
Home side's compact block could restrict chances.
Recent form favors Celtic's momentum and control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KIL 4-4-2 · CEL 4-3-3

KIL · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · CEL

44 Hugill

📊 Statistics

KIL 2 – 3 CEL

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

67%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celtic won 3–2 away at Kilmarnock. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.92 to 0.94. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 17, 10 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.12 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.10	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.62	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.50	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	44%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	29%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.45	—	72%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.10	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.13	—	91%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	3.05	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.14	—	72%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.58	—	51%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	89%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	71%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Home Win	8.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.75	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.12u	−30% ROI