Kilmarnock 4-3 ST Mirren — Match Result & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.75 — +13.4% better than the market.

Kilmarnock hosts ST Mirren in a tightly poised Premiership clash at Rugby Park. The home side holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, while ST Mirren’s defensive solidity could stifle Kilmarnock’s attack. Recent form favors the visitors marginally, but Kilmarnock’s compact defensive block and home momentum may keep this low-scoring.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive pressure
Close form trends suggest a cautious tempo
Odds hint at a match under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KIL 4 – 3 MIR

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.74

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.75

20

Total Shots

15

7

Shots on Target

8

5

Shots off Target

3

12

Shots Inside Box

11

9

Corner Kicks

4

3

Offsides

4

10

Fouls

19

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

1

Yellow Cards

3

6

Goalkeeper Saves

4

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.95	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.75	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.00	—	42%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Away Win	2.62	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.89	—	41%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.12	—	35%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.86	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.95	—	42%	Cashed	+1.95	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.54	—	69%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.28	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.32	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	84%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	60%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	15%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.04u	−0% ROI