Match Livingston vs Falkirk February 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +15.0% better than the market.

Falkirk arrive with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Livingston's defensive solidity could keep things tight, but their struggles in attack may limit goal opportunities. Expect a cautious tempo with a pressing edge favoring Falkirk, who look more likely to break the deadlock.

Falkirk's stronger overall quality and recent momentum
Livingston's defensive resilience vs Falkirk's steady attack
Likely moderate pace with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 3-4-2-1 · FAL 4-4-1-1

LIV · 3-4-2-1 4-4-1-1 · FAL

9 Muirhead

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 2 FAL

44%

Possession (%)

56%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Falkirk won 2–1 away at Livingston. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 79% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.173).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.07	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.83	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.62	—	47%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.73	—	47%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.05	—	37%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.08	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	75%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	83%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.55	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.10	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	80%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	62%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.59u	−21% ROI