Falkirk vs Hibernian 4:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.34 — +9.5% better than the market.

Hibernian enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Falkirk’s home momentum is tempered by a defensive setup that may struggle against Hibernian’s sharper attack. Expect a tactical battle where Hibernian’s pressing and offensive efficiency could limit Falkirk’s chances.

Hibernian’s superior overall strength and offensive edge
Falkirk’s resilience at home but defensive vulnerability
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.34 ✗ Lost

AI 82% Implied 75% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FAL 4-2-3-1 · HIB 3-4-1-2

FAL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · HIB

16 Stewart

Statistics

FAL 4 – 1 HIB

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Falkirk beat Hibernian 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.06 units (Brier 0.335).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.10	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.88	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.40	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	50%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.64	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	44%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.01	—	38%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.35	—	23%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.57	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	81%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	63%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Home Win	3.30	—	23%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	18%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.06u	−0% ROI

Falkirk vs Hibernian 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled