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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Livingston — Kilmarnock

Predictions by Market: Livingston vs Kilmarnock

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Livingston
Livingston
Home · last 5 W D L D L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
L W W W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIV
41%
Best 2.36
Draw
27%
Best 3.12
Away Win · KIL
33%
Best 3.09
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.08
book 3.40 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (41%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.9%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LIV – KIL @ 3.40
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →