Match Dundee vs Kilmarnock December 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.75 — +15.0% better than the market.

Kilmarnock enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger overall profile, despite Dundee's slight home momentum. The visitors' superior attacking potential against Dundee's defense suggests they can unlock chances, while Dundee's home edge is modest, hinting at a balanced tactical battle. Recent form favors Dundee slightly, but both sides show defensive solidity, pointing to a cautious, low-scoring encounter.

Kilmarnock's offensive threat vs Dundee's defense
Dundee's home comfort but limited edge
Low goal expectation supported by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

DUN 4-1-4-1 · KIL 4-1-4-1

DUN · 4-1-4-1 4-1-4-1 · KIL

11 Hay

📊 Statistics

DUN 2 – 1 KIL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Dundee beat Kilmarnock 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 8, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.56 units (Brier 0.256).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.95	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.75	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.70	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.83	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	40%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	—	34%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.07	—	27%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.20	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	86%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	55%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	2.92	—	27%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	79%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	60%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.56u	−15% ROI