Match Dundee vs Falkirk December 27, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Falkirk enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can challenge Dundee's solid but less potent defense. Dundee's home form shows some resilience, but their recent results hint at inconsistency. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo given the balanced goal expectations, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

Falkirk's superior overall strength and attacking threat
Dundee's home momentum and defensive organization
Moderate pace expected, favoring a compact tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

DUN 4-4-1-1 · FAL 4-2-3-1

DUN · 4-4-1-1 4-2-3-1 · FAL

11 Hay

📊 Statistics

DUN 1 – 0 FAL

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.00

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

72%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Dundee beat Falkirk 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.52 to 1.00. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 10, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.25 units (Brier 0.241).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.10	—	56%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.89	—	62%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Away Win	2.45	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.71	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.01	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.18	—	24%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.55	—	37%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	81%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	51%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Home Win	3.06	—	24%	Cashed	+2.06	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.50	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.25u	−1% ROI