Match Dundee vs Aberdeen December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.75 — +13.4% better than the market.

Dundee hosts Aberdeen in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall squad and defensive solidity. Dundee’s recent home form shows some resilience, but Aberdeen’s ability to control the game and limit chances suggests a tight contest. Expect a cautious tempo with both sides prioritizing defensive organization.

Dundee’s home edge is moderate but challenged by Aberdeen’s superior defensive record.
Recent form favors Dundee slightly, but Aberdeen’s pressing and compact block could stifle attacks.
Odds and low goal expectations hint at a match leaning towards under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

DUN 4-5-1 · ABE 3-4-2-1

DUN · 4-5-1 3-4-2-1 · ABE

15 Murray

📊 Statistics

DUN 1 – 3 ABE

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aberdeen won 3–1 away at Dundee. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 14, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.63 units (Brier 0.251).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.95	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.75	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.20	—	53%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.70	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.89	—	41%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.12	—	35%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.55	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	79%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.56	—	53%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	79%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	60%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Home Win	3.60	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.80	—	15%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.63u	−10% ROI