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Home Scotland Premiership Celtic — Kilmarnock

Match Celtic vs Kilmarnock November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Celtic
Celtic
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 16:00
4:0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
L W W W W Away · last 5
Celtic Park · Glasgow
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 58% · book 2.02
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.85
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 39% · book 2.05
Total goals
4
4 · 0
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.85 — +12.8% better than the market.

Celtic enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong quality edge and a compact defensive block that has been tough to break down. Their attacking prowess matches well against Kilmarnock's defensive setup, suggesting control in key phases. Recent form favors Celtic, who have been more consistent, while Kilmarnock's late wins hint at resilience but less stability overall.

  • Home advantage with tactical solidity
  • Superior attacking vs. away defense
  • Form edge supporting home confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 54% +0.85u
+85%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

CEL 40 KIL
74%
Possession (%)
26%
21
Total Shots
3
7
Shots on Target
1
8
Shots off Target
2
15
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
4
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
64%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Celtic beat Kilmarnock 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 3, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.63 units (Brier 0.092).

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.02 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 61% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.05 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.85 42% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 0.5 26.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 7.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.42 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 8.70 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.17 83% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.70 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 90% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.11 77% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.34 62% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Away Win 19.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 12.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 9 L −6.63u −41% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
CEL – KIL @ 1.85
+12.8%
Edge
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