Match Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd November 9, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.28 — +14.5% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian Looks Poised to Dominate at Tynecastle

Heart Of Midlothian carries strong home momentum with a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Dundee Utd. Their offensive strength matches well against Dundee's defense, suggesting they can control the game tempo. The home side's compact block and pressing edge should limit Dundee's chances, while the away team struggles to keep pace and convert opportunities. Expect a disciplined Hearts side to leverage their home advantage and maintain pressure throughout.

Home momentum and form superiority
Offensive pressure against a vulnerable defense
Compact defensive shape limiting away threats

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.28 ✓ Cashed

AI 50% Implied 44% +1.28u

+128%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEA 4-4-2 · DUN 3-4-3

HEA · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · DUN

11 Kabore

📊 Statistics

HEA 1 – 1 DUN

63%

Possession (%)

37%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

61%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 76% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.32 units (Brier 0.207).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.28	—	50%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	48%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	71%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	1.44	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.80	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.11	—	90%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.85	—	29%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.14	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.78	—	20%	Cashed	+3.78	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Away Win	7.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.75	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.32u	−2% ROI