Match Sturm Graz vs Brann January 29, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
Brann
L
D
L
L
L
Away · last 5
Merkur Arena · Graz
Referee Juxhin Xhaja, Albania
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 71% · book 1.50
✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 3.60
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 41% · book 2.50
✗
xG (open play)
0.85 – 2.12
Δ −1.27
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Sturm Graz vs Brann looks like a tricky match where the visitors are better set up to control the key phases. Sturm have been inconsistent and can get exposed when they lose the ball in central areas, while Brann arrive in steadier rhythm and should generate the cleaner chances, especially if the game opens into transitions. The hosts can still make it awkward at home, but Brann’s structure and attacking variety point to a strong chance of avoiding defeat, with the away win very live if they stay patient and take their moments.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
📊 Statistics
STU 1
– 0 BRA
0.85
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.12
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
Match recap
Sturm Graz beat Brann 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.12 to 0.85. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.90 units (Brier 0.291).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 7 W · 8 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.50 |
— |
71% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.60 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.50 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.70 |
— |
38% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.80 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.10 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.10 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.60 |
— |
61% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.50 |
— |
39% |
Cashed |
+1.50 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.30 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.30 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.50 |
— |
62% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.60 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.60 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
— |
74% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
3.00 |
— |
29% |
Cashed |
+2.00 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.80 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.10 |
— |
29% |
Cashed |
+1.10 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
7 W · 8 L |
−0.90u |
−6% ROI |