Match FK Crvena Zvezda vs Celta Vigo January 29, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Stadion Rajko Mit · Belgrade
Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.70
✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 32% · book 3.20
✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.10
✓
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.29
Δ −0.41
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Celta Vigo sets up as a competitive tie between two sides in good rhythm. The hosts bring energy and home intensity, but Celta look sharper in how they create chances and are more dangerous when the game breaks into transitions. Crvena Zvezda can keep it tight for spells, yet if they start chasing the game, Celta have the tools to punish mistakes and get into high-quality scoring positions. Expect a match that can swing on tempo changes and key moments rather than sustained dominance from either side.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
📊 Statistics
CRV 1
– 1 CEL
0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.29
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
Match recap
FK Crvena Zvezda and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 5, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -0.70 units (Brier 0.168).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 8 W · 7 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.70 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.20 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.10 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+1.10 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
3.20 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.40 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.40 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.70 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.90 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.30 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.40 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.40 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.10 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.10 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.30 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.20 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.70 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.30 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.60 |
— |
28% |
Cashed |
+2.60 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 7 L |
−0.70u |
−5% ROI |
