Match Ludogorets vs Nice January 29, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.90 — +10.0% better than the market.

Ludogorets usually play on the front foot at home, but their matches can become stretched when the tempo rises, and they tend to concede clearer chances in transition. Nice arrive in better rhythm and should be comfortable sitting a bit deeper, then breaking quickly into the space behind the full-backs. If Ludogorets over-commit while chasing momentum, Nice have the tools to punish turnovers and grow into the game. The away side look well placed to avoid defeat, with a realistic route to all three points in an open match with chances at both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LUD 4-2-3-1 · NIC 4-2-3-1

LUD · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · NIC

29 Bile

📊 Statistics

LUD 1 – 0 NIC

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.89

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ludogorets beat Nice 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.89. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.50 units (Brier 0.253).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.90	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	94%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.90	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	68%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	40%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	39%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Home Win	2.00	—	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	41%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.50u	−23% ROI