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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › FC Basel 1893 — Plzen

Predictions by Market: FC Basel 1893 vs Plzen

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Plzen
Plzen
D D W D D Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee Giorgi Kruashvili, Georgia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAS
40%
Best 2.05
Draw
30%
Best 3.85
Away Win · PLZ
30%
Best 3.30
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.78
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.78 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 4.09
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.3%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 30%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
BAS – PLZ @ 3.78
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →