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Home World UEFA Europa League Lyon — PAOK

Predictions Lyon vs PAOK January 29, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
PAOK
PAOK
D W L L L Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Décines-Charpieu Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Home Win · LYO
45%
Best 2.25
Draw
27%
Best 3.53
Away Win · PAO
29%
Best 3.05
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.48
book 4.00 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 4.11
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LYO – PAO @ 4.00
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →