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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Lyon — PAOK

Predictions by Market: Lyon vs PAOK

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
PAOK
PAOK
D W L L L Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Lyon Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LYO
45%
Best 2.25
Draw
27%
Best 3.53
Away Win · PAO
29%
Best 3.05
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.48
book 4.00 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 4.11
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LYO – PAO @ 4.00
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →