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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Lille — SC Freiburg

Predictions by Market: Lille vs SC Freiburg

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
46%
Best 2.00
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · FRE
28%
Best 3.73
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.92
Fair odds
3.56
book 3.92 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 18.9%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.3%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.1%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LIL – FRE @ 3.92
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →