Match Dinamo Zagreb vs FCSB January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Dinamo Zagreb should be more comfortable controlling this game at home, using longer spells of possession to pin FCSB back and force mistakes around the box. FCSB’s best route is in transition, and they do carry enough threat to keep the match honest, especially if Dinamo over-commits. Overall, this looks like a game where the hosts are better placed to dictate the tempo, but the visitors can still make it awkward and stay in touch for long stretches.

Expect a competitive tie with chances at both ends, and a scenario where Dinamo’s home control matters most in the key moments.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ZAG 4 – 1 STE

47%

Possession (%)

53%

2.03

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.24

15

Total Shots

7

6

Shots on Target

3

6

Shots off Target

4

9

Shots Inside Box

3

4

Corner Kicks

6

1

Offsides

3

16

Fouls

11

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

2

Yellow Cards

2

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match recap

Dinamo Zagreb beat FCSB 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.03 to 0.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 6 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.03 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.58 units (Brier 0.198).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 7 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.97	—	53%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Away Win	5.52	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.34	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.20	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	54%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.34	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	74%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.97	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	72%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Home Win	1.68	—	46%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.25	—	46%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 6 L	−2.58u	−20% ROI