Match Red Bull Salzburg vs FC Basel 1893 January 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Red Bull Salzburg have the home setup to control long phases and create pressure around the box, but their recent rhythm has been uneven and that can open the door for a well-organised opponent. FC Basel arrive in steadier form and should be comfortable playing in transitions, which makes them dangerous whenever Salzburg push numbers forward. This looks like a competitive game where Salzburg have the stronger home platform, but Basel can stay in it and keep the scoreline tight for long spells.

Expect a tense, tactical contest with moments for both sides rather than a one-way match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SAL 3 – 1 BAS

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.31

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

20

Total Shots

9

7

Shots on Target

2

7

Shots off Target

4

11

Shots Inside Box

3

8

Corner Kicks

2

0

Offsides

3

12

Fouls

9

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

1

Yellow Cards

3

1

Goalkeeper Saves

4

Match recap

Red Bull Salzburg beat FC Basel 1893 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.31 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.31 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 9 landed and 7 missed, for a net -0.95 units (Brier 0.193).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 9 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.60	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.86	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.49	—	70%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.47	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +1	1.21	—	84%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
BTTS No	2.63	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.48	—	40%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.62	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.64	—	58%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	78%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Away Win	2.82	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.60	—	32%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.87	—	40%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.10	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 7 L	−0.95u	−6% ROI

Match Red Bull Salzburg vs FC Basel 1893 January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled