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Home World UEFA Europa League Celta Vigo — Lille

Predictions Celta Vigo vs Lille January 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W D W L L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Lille
Lille
W L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Home Win · CEL
37%
Best 2.35
Draw
30%
Best 3.30
Away Win · LIL
33%
Best 3.03
Value pick
Draw
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.55 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (37%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 33%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 37%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.27
Show model details
Implied probability 30.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 33%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 63%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
CEL – LIL @ 3.55
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →