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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Celta Vigo — Lille

Predictions by Market: Celta Vigo vs Lille

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W D W L L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Lille
Lille
W L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CEL
37%
Best 2.35
Draw
30%
Best 3.30
Away Win · LIL
33%
Best 3.03
Value pick
Draw
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.55 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (37%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 37%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.27
Show model details
Implied probability 30.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 63%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
CEL – LIL @ 3.55
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →