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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Match FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach November 1, 2025 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 14:30
0:4
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.99 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.23 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.18 ✓
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
0.83 – 2.32
Δ −1.49
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.99 — +10.4% better than the market.

FC St. Pauli holds a clear quality edge at home, backed by a stronger defensive setup that could frustrate Borussia Mönchengladbach. Despite recent struggles, St. Pauli's home momentum and slightly better recent form suggest they can control the pace. Gladbach's attack faces a tough test against a compact home defense, hinting at a cautious, low-scoring affair.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • St. Pauli's home edge in form and strength
  • Likely moderate tempo with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.99 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · MOE 3-4-2-1
PAU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · MOE 22 Vasilj 5 Wahl 8 Smith 3 Mets 2 Saliakas 6 Sands 16 Fujita 23 Oppie 28 Lage 17 Afolayan 10 Sinani 33 Nicolas 16 Sander 30 Elvedi 4 Diks 29 Scally 27 Reitz 6 Engelhardt 26 Ullrich 9 Honorat 10 Neuhaus 15 Tabaković ⚽
Subs used · PAU
46' Hountondji ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
46' Kaars ↑ · Afolayan ↓
46' Ceesay ↑ · Sinani ↓
55' Metcalfe ↑ · Sands ↓
84' Irvine ↑ · Saliakas ↓
Subs used · MOE
57' Machino ↑ · Honorat ↓
78' Reyna ↑ · Neuhaus ↓
78' Fraulo ↑ · Scally ↓
85' Stoger ↑ · Reitz ↓
85' Urbich ↑ · Tabakovic ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 0 – 4 MOE
56%
Possession (%)
44%
0.83
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.32
16
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
11
6
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
11
8
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
8
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
4
Yellow Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

18 · 0 – 4
15'
⚽
H. Tabakovic
Assist · F. Neuhaus · 0–1
James Sands
Yellow Card
▮
18'
40'
⚽
H. Tabakovic
Assist · F. Honorat · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
A. Hountondji ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
M. Kaars ↓ · O. Afolayan ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
A. Ceesay ↓ · D. Sinani ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
C. Metcalfe ↓ · J. Sands ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
55'
57'
⇄
S. Machino ↓ · F. Honorat ↑
Substitution 1
Manolis Saliakas
Yellow Card
▮
60'
Abdoulie Ceesay
Yellow Card
▮
63'
75'
⚽
S. Machino
Assist · H. Tabakovic · 0–3
78'
⇄
G. Reyna ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
O. Fraulo ↓ · J. Scally ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⚽
O. Fraulo
Assist · S. Machino · 0–4
J. Irvine ↓ · M. Saliakas ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
85'
⇄
K. Stoger ↓ · R. Reitz ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
J. Urbich ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑
Substitution 5
Andreas Hountondji
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach won 4–0 away at FC St. Pauli. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.32 to 0.83. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.32 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Tabakovic (15'), H. Tabakovic (40'), S. Machino (75'), O. Fraulo (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.49 units (Brier 0.307).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.99 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.23 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.18 — 50% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 — 45% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.74 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.60 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.74 — 47% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.48 — 21% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.83 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.30 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 — 70% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 — 24% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Away Win 3.47 — 21% Cashed +2.47 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.49u +3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PAU – MOE @ 1.99
+10.4%
Edge
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