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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Utrecht — Genk

Predictions by Market: Utrecht vs Genk

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Utrecht
Utrecht
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W W D W L Away · last 5
Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht Referee Robert Hennessy, Ireland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UTR
35%
Best 3.05
VALUE
Draw
31%
Best 3.40
Away Win · GEN
34%
Best 2.31
Value pick
Draw
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.23
book 3.55 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 31% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (35%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw Value pick
Probability 31%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 35%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 56%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 65%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
UTR – GEN @ 3.55
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →