Brann and FC Midtjylland drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–2.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.34 to 1.88. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 10, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net +0.30 units (Brier 0.186).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 1.71 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.71 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 14.50 | — | 10% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.50 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.75 | — | 30% | Cashed | +2.75 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.24 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.40 | — | 42% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 | — | 35% | Cashed | +1.80 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 3.25 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.39 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.39 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.76 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.76 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.47 | — | 65% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.60 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.60 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 2.27 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.24 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.24 | Cashed |
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 7 L | +0.30u | +2% ROI |
