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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League Feyenoord — Sturm Graz
World   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Home · last 5 L L L W L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 17:45
3:0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
D L L L W Away · last 5
De Kuip · Rotterdam Referee Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 65% · book 1.76
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 20% · book 7.26
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 45% · book 2.96
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.32 – 0.10
Δ +1.22
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.76 — +14.0% better than the market.

Feyenoord should control this game at De Kuip through territory and pressure, even if their recent run has been patchy. Sturm Graz can be competitive in spells, but they tend to struggle when forced to defend deep for long periods, and their attacking output usually depends on moments rather than sustained dominance. The most likely script is Feyenoord on the front foot, with Sturm trying to survive the waves and nick chances on transitions. That points to a home-leaning 1X2 profile, with the draw and the away upset still live if Feyenoord’s finishing isn’t sharp. Goal markets lean toward a match with goals, but not necessarily a shootout.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.76 ✓ Cashed
AI 65% Implied 57% +0.76u
+76%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FEY 30 STU
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.10
18
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
2
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 8 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.76 65% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Away Win 7.26 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.96 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.20 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.75 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 45% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.15 82% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 80% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 58% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 1.46 55% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.25 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.15 55% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 6 L −2.51u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
FEY – STU @ 1.76
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →