Sturm Graz welcome Crvena Zvezda to Merkur-Arena in a match where the Austrian side are solid at home but the visitors look slightly sharper in recent European performances. Sturm score freely in their domestic league but leave a lot of space at the back, while Crvena Zvezda create chances both home and away and have enough quality to avoid a heavy defeat even on the road. We can expect an open game with goals at both ends, where the away side’s positive handicaps look very attractive from a betting perspective. Backing Crvena Zvezda with a head start on the handicap, combined with cautious plays on low goal lines and ‘both teams not to score’, offers an interesting risk–reward profile for this fixture.