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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › FC Midtjylland — Genk

Predictions by Market: FC Midtjylland vs Genk

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W W D W L Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning Referee Vassilis Fotias, Greece

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MID
51%
Best 1.72
VALUE
Draw
25%
Best 4.08
Away Win · GEN
24%
Best 4.42
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.48 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +4.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw Value pick
Probability 25%
Odds 4.07
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 24%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 42%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 3 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30%
Odds 3.07
Show model details
Implied probability 32.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away +1
Probability 13%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MID – GEN @ 2.48
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →