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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Genk — FC Basel 1893

Predictions by Market: Genk vs FC Basel 1893

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Genk
Genk
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
W L L L L Away · last 5
Cegeka Arena · Genk Referee Orel Grinfeeld, Israel

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
43%
Best 2.12
Draw
26%
Best 3.78
Away Win · BAS
31%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.72
Fair odds
3.23
book 3.72 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 31% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (43%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 31%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 4.09
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 0.5 Longshot value
Probability 7%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 36%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – BAS @ 3.72
+15.0%
Edge
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