PAOK vs Brann looks like a high-energy European night in Thessaloniki: the hosts are very strong at home and usually control territory, but Brann arrive in excellent form and carry real threat in transition. I slightly lean PAOK on their own pitch, but expect an open game with chances at both ends, so goals and options around the away side keeping it close also make sense for creative bettors.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.79 to 1.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 9 landed and 7 missed, for a net +1.31 units (Brier 0.157).
