Ferencvarosi TC beat Ludogorets 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 14, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.10 units (Brier 0.191).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 2.23 | — | 49% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 5.24 | — | 24% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 12.80 | — | 10% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.10 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 4.05 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 | — | 70% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 3.45 | — | 30% | Cashed | +2.45 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 2.00 | — | 51% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.73 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.73 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.30 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.95 | — | 48% | Cashed | +0.95 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.90 | — | 49% | Cashed | +0.90 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.21 | — | 72% | Cashed | +0.21 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 3.60 | — | 24% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.30 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.30 | Cashed |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −3.10u | −18% ROI |