Ferencvarosi TC 3-1 Ludogorets — Match Result & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

At Groupama Arena, Ferencváros carry the stronger five-game rhythm and a steadier chance profile. Ludogorets can punch in transition, but the hosts should control more phases and territory. Expect a measured game that tilts to the home side unless an early goal opens the tempo.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

FER 3 – 1 LUD

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.23	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.24	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.80	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.05	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.45	—	30%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.73	—	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.95	—	48%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	49%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	72%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.60	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	50%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.10u	−18% ROI

ℹ Match meta

Stadium Groupama Arena

Referee Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden

🛡 Model audit · this match

Methodology

Version gpt-5

Markets graded 17

Cashed / lost 8 / 9

Brier · this match 0.191

P/L on slate −3.10u

ROI · season −6%

Season tally −123.1u (2005)