Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.41 to 0.07. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 9 shots to 3, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0.
Model audit for this match: of 21 graded markets, 10 landed and 11 missed, for a net +13.77 units (Brier 0.266).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 2.26 | — | 73% | Cashed | +1.26 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.24 | — | 28% | Cashed | +3.24 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.72 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.77 | — | 54% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.15 | — | 46% | Cashed | +1.15 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 | — | 90% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 14.00 | — | 10% | Cashed | +13.00 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.24 | — | 74% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 | — | 26% | Cashed | +3.33 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.18 | — | 45% | Cashed | +1.18 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 | — | 33% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.47 | — | 67% | Cashed | +0.47 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 5.06 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.23 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.23 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 3.56 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.31 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -1 | 9.50 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -1 | 1.06 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home +1 | 1.72 | — | 73% | Cashed | +0.72 | Cashed |
| AH Home +2 | 1.19 | — | 93% | Cashed | +0.19 | Cashed |
| Total · 21 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 10 W · 11 L | +13.77u | +66% ROI |
