Match FK Crvena Zvezda vs Lille November 6, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 06 Nov · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Lille
W
L
W
L
L
Away · last 5
Stadion Rajko Mit · Belgrade
Referee John Brooks, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.32
✗
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 8% · book 14.30
✗
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 26% · book 4.33
✓
xG (open play)
1.70 – 1.53
Δ +0.17
AI accuracy
10 / 23
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Lille travel in better rhythm and should control more phases, while Crvena Zvezda lean on set-plays and bursts. Expect the visitors to edge territory and create the cleaner looks. The base script points to Lille avoiding defeat with a contained scoreline unless an early goal breaks structure.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
CRV 4-2-3-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
CRV 1
– 0 LIL
1.70
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.53
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
FK Crvena Zvezda beat Lille 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 23 graded markets, 10 landed and 13 missed, for a net -2.12 units (Brier 0.245).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
23 · 10 W · 13 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
2.32 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
14.30 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.33 |
— |
26% |
Cashed |
+3.33 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.41 |
— |
78% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.39 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.39 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.17 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.17 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.04 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.47 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.47 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.80 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.88 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.25 |
— |
74% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.70 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.62 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.67 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.68 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+0.68 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
3.17 |
— |
22% |
Cashed |
+2.17 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.33 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+0.33 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.25 |
— |
22% |
Cashed |
+1.25 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
5.50 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -2 |
13.50 |
— |
3% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -1 |
1.15 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -2 |
1.02 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 23 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
10 W · 13 L |
−2.12u |
−9% ROI |