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Home World UEFA Europa League FC Basel 1893 — VfB Stuttgart

Match FC Basel 1893 vs VfB Stuttgart October 2, 2025 — Result and Stats

FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Thu 02 Oct · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
W W L L L Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee Davide Massa, Italy
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.66
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.60
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 76% · book 1.31
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.01 – 2.44
Δ −0.43
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
2 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Basel vs Stuttgart — match preview, probabilities & betting insights. League strength and form lean toward Stuttgart: the Bundesliga side arrive with cleaner chance creation and a steadier out-of-possession shape, while Basel’s recent volatility and softer weekly competition cap their ceiling. Expect Basel to value control in spells at St. Jakob-Park, but Stuttgart’s pressing triggers and quick releases into the channels should generate the better looks.

Game script & totals. The baseline skews modest-to-medium. A measured first hour is likely, with Stuttgart managing risk and Basel trying to drag tempo down. Protective angles cluster around away-sided coverage and selective unders; higher-variance stances rely on early transitions or set plays cracking it open. Swing factors: first goal timing, discipline, and restart execution.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

BAS 20 STU
36%
Possession (%)
64%
2.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.44
11
Total Shots
30
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
12
8
Shots Inside Box
21
1
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
9
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

FC Basel 1893 beat VfB Stuttgart 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 2 landed and 3 missed, for a net +0.26 units (Brier 0.369).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 2 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.66 42% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.60 42% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.31 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.95 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.55 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 3 L +0.26u +5% ROI