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Home Greece Super League 1 Panetolikos — Panserraikos

Match Panetolikos vs Panserraikos March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
Home · last 5 L W D D L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Panserraikos
Panserraikos
D L L D L Away · last 5
Panetolikos Stadium · Agrinio Referee Angelos Evangelou, Greece
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 66% · book 1.75
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 70% · book 1.64
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.95
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.13 – 0.62
Δ +0.51
Possession
80% – 20%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.64 — +15.0% better than the market.

Panetolikos holds a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record at home, which could stifle Panserraikos' moderate attacking threat. Despite Panserraikos showing slightly better recent form, Panetolikos' home momentum and defensive solidity suggest a tight contest with limited goals. The pace hints at a controlled tempo, favoring a compact block and cautious build-up.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Panetolikos' home advantage
  • Moderate recent form gap

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.64 ✓ Cashed
AI 70% Implied 61% +0.64u
+64%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PAN 00 PAN
80%
Possession (%)
20%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
22
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
1
10
Shots off Target
1
13
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
7
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Panetolikos and Panserraikos drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 80% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.13 to 0.62. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 9, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.09 units (Brier 0.229).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.75 66% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.64 70% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Home Win 1.95 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.95 42% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.22 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.47 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 44% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 22% Cashed +7.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 89% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.50 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 26% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.11 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.17 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.55 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.75 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +5.09u +30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PAN – PAN @ 1.64
+15.0%
Edge
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