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Home Greece Super League 1 PAOK — Levadiakos

Match PAOK vs Levadiakos March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
PAOK
PAOK
Home · last 5 L W D D D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 16:00
3:0
Full-time
Levadiakos
Levadiakos
L W W W L Away · last 5
Referee C. Vergetis
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.05
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 44% · book 2.27
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.77
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.82 – 0.03
Δ +1.79
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.05 — +10.0% better than the market.

PAOK hosts Levadiakos in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting stronger offensive metrics and a more consistent recent run. However, PAOK's home ground advantage and defensive solidity could temper Levadiakos' attacking threat. The home side's recent form shows some struggles, while Levadiakos arrives with momentum, suggesting a tactical battle with potential for a tight scoreline.

  • Levadiakos' attacking edge against PAOK's defense
  • PAOK's home resilience and compact block
  • Form momentum favors Levadiakos but PAOK's home edge balances the scales

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PAO 30 LEV
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.03
9
Total Shots
2
3
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
6
Shots Inside Box
2
9
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
9
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

PAOK beat Levadiakos 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.03. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 9 shots to 2, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.10 units (Brier 0.105).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.05 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.27 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.77 56% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.83 46% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Away Win 10.25 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 75% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.59 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.40 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.95 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 82% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.36 64% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.12 64% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Draw 5.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 71% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.10u −36% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PAO – LEV @ 2.05
+10.0%
Edge
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