Match PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.67 — +12.4% better than the market.

PAOK holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent results. Their strong defensive profile should contain Asteras Tripolis, who struggle offensively on the road. The home side’s pressing and set-piece threat could exploit the visitors’ defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a controlled tempo with limited scoring chances given the cautious away approach and odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

Home defensive solidity vs away attacking struggles
PAOK’s home pressing advantage
Low-scoring game likely due to tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAO 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-2-3-1

PAO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AST

19 Jeremejeff

13 Triantafyllopoulos

📊 Statistics

PAO 2 – 0 AST

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PAOK beat Asteras Tripolis 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.33 to 0.10. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 3, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.07 units (Brier 0.072).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.15	—	55%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS No	1.67	—	67%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.78	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.30	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	77%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.30	—	76%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.90	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.65	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	85%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	66%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Away Win	11.75	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.40	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 9 L	−6.07u	−38% ROI