Match Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis March 1, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.62 — +9.4% better than the market.

Panathinaikos enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a solid recent run. Their defensive resilience contrasts with Aris Thessalonikis' slightly less potent attack, suggesting a tactical edge in controlling the game. The home side's pressing and compact block could limit away chances, while the moderate pace implied by odds hints at a measured, strategic encounter.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Superior recent form and home edge
Likely controlled tempo with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.62 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 62% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAN 3-4-2-1 · ARI 4-2-3-1

PAN · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · ARI

19 Swiderski

📊 Statistics

PAN 3 – 1 ARI

42%

Possession (%)

58%

2.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Match recap

Panathinaikos beat Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.36 to 0.71. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.68 units (Brier 0.277).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.62	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.52	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.92	—	58%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.93	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.38	—	32%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.65	—	27%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.50	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.77	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.55	—	53%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.18	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.12	—	82%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	3.23	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.34	—	58%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Away Win	4.75	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	5.50	—	12%	Cashed	+4.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.30	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.68u	+4% ROI