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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › Aris Thessalonikis — Kifisia

Aris Thessalonikis vs Kifisia 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Kifisia
Kifisia
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee A. Tsakalidis
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 44% · book 2.80 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 2.10 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.92 – 0.89
Δ +1.03
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.62 — +11.6% better than the market.

Aris Thessalonikis hosts Kifisia in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by stronger offensive numbers and a more robust overall profile. However, Aris enjoys a home momentum with recent solid form and a defensive setup that could frustrate Kifisia's attacking intent. The match hints at a tactical battle with a moderate pace, favoring a compact block from the hosts and cautious probing from the away side.

  • Aris' home resilience contrasts with Kifisia's away struggles.
  • Kifisia's attacking edge meets Aris' disciplined defense.
  • Moderate tempo likely to limit goal-scoring chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 62% +0.62u
+62%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ARI 1 – 1 KIF
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.92
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.89
24
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
4
18
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
19
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis and Kifisia drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.92 to 0.89. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 14, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.57 units (Brier 0.172).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.62 — 69% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.80 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.10 — 53% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 1.67 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.80 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.22 — 36% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.37 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 7.50 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.20 — 73% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.47 — 56% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 — 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.70 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 84% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.50 — 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.36 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.57u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ARI – KIF @ 1.62
+11.6%
Edge
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